XRP Price Forecast: Unpacking Factors Behind Potential Decline
XRP's Price Movement
XRP's price has been falling continuously below the $0.480 level, similar to what happened with Bitcoin and Ethereum, dropping below $0.4650 down to $0.4620. The price formed a low at $0.4619 before it recently began to recover.
Price Analysis
The price saw a noticeable upward movement above the $0.4700 and $0.4720 resistance levels, even surpassing the halfway mark of the Fibonacci retracement for the recent downward wave from $0.4885 to $0.4620. However, sellers are still active around the $0.4780 area, defending the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the same downward wave. There are also significant downtrend lines forming with resistance at $0.4770 on the hourly chart for the XRP/USD pair.
Current Status
Currently, XRP is trading below $0.4800 and also below the 100-hour simple moving average. From the upside, the price faces resistance near $0.4770, with the first major resistance near $0.4800.
Potential Price Movements
If the price successfully surpasses the $0.4800 resistance, it may head towards the $0.4885 resistance. The next significant resistance is at $0.5050, and a close above this area could push the price higher. The following main resistance is at $0.5250, and any additional gains might direct the price towards $0.5500.
On the other hand, if XRP fails to overcome the $0.4800 resistance area, it could start recording more declines. The initial support on the downside is at $0.4685, and the next significant support is at $0.4620. If there is a downward break and close below $0.4620, the price might gain bearish momentum. In this case, the price could trade even below the $0.450 support in the near future.
Recommendation
Based on the data and XRP price movements and current resistance and support levels, the market seems headed towards more short-term selling pressure for several reasons. One is that XRP faces solid resistance at $0.4800, and its repeated failure to exceed this level indicates weak upward momentum. Another reason is that XRP trading below the 100-hour moving average suggests a short-term downward trend.
Therefore, if XRP fails to break the resistance level and starts to decline, this might increase the selling pressure, making selling a reasonable option to reduce losses or avoid larger drops. However, it's beneficial to monitor the market for some time to see if XRP can break the resistance and confirm an upward trend before making a decision.
Remember, managing risks and setting acceptable loss limits is crucial in cryptocurrency trading due to its high volatility.
